In September 2025, the variety of firearm gross sales, as measured by the Nationwide Prompt Prison Background Examine System (NICS), adjusted by the Nationwide Taking pictures Sports activities Basis (NSSF), was roughly two % increased than it was in September 2024. This reversed the marginally downward development in firearm gross sales that began in February 2025. The reductions haven’t been huge, starting from 2 to 7 % for every particular person month. These reductions have been keenly felt in an business accustomed to vital growth in the course of the Obama and Biden administrations.
Whereas the numbers used to approximate firearm gross sales elevated by about two %, the variety of total NICS checks decreased by about ten % from September 2024, in line with the NSSF.
From NSSF :
The September 2025 NSSF-adjusted Nationwide Prompt Prison Background Examine System (NICS) determine of 1,179,424 is a rise of two.0 % in comparison with the September 2024 NSSF-adjusted NICS determine of 1,156,223.
For comparability, the unadjusted September 2025 FBI NICS determine of 1,858,763 displays a ten.3% % lower from the unadjusted FBI NICS determine of two,072,550 in September 2024.
During the last 25 years, the month of September 2025 has seen a slight improve from 2024, which in flip was up barely from 2023. All three of these years are down from the peaks of 2020, 2021, and 2022. Through the presidential election yr of 2020 and the primary two years of the Biden administration, the outlook for the Republic of america of America appeared grim. Firearm gross sales for September 2025, 2024, and 2023 are solely a little bit increased than these of the final three years of the Obama administration.
The shock of the assassination of Charlie Kirk probably reminded potential firearms purchasers of the delicate nature of a steady nation-state. During the last 235 years, america has been essentially the most steady polity on the planet. Some individuals declare that america politically reconfigures itself roughly each 75 years. The double elections of President Donald Trump add credence to the idea. For the current, there are huge variations between a lot of the United States inhabitants and the 25-30% who exist in an alternate actuality outlined by wokism, local weather alarmism, and significant race/intercourse/thought principle.
Extra political violence has the potential to extend firearm gross sales.
The firearms and ammunition market has absorbed huge numbers of firearms and quantities of ammunition in america during the last 15 years. In 2009, the variety of personal firearms was 316 million. In 2025, we’re effectively over 533 million, a rise of 217 million. These numbers can’t be exact, however they’re in all probability shut. They’re derived from ATF figures of firearms manufactured, imported, and exported from america. Over 40% of privately owned firearms within the USA are lower than 15 years outdated. Many purchasers have happy their want for extra firearms. The NSSF report on excise taxes exhibits ammunition taxes down 31% since 2022, and down about 12% within the final yr.
Over the long run, the probably removing of silencers/suppressors and short-barreled shotguns and rifles from the Nationwide Firearms Act has the potential of accelerating demand as purchasers regulate to the brand new statutory framework. Many firearms house owners will decide to buy new firearms fairly than retrofit their current fashions. A retreat from the dominant media demonization of firearms possession of the final 60 years could improve the variety of potential firearm house owners.
When you want firearms or ammunition, now is an efficient time to purchase.
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About Dean Weingarten:
Dean Weingarten has been a peace officer, a navy officer, was on the College of Wisconsin Pistol Crew for 4 years, and was first licensed to show firearms security in 1973. He taught the Arizona hid carry course for fifteen years till the aim of Constitutional Carry was attained. He has levels in meteorology and mining engineering, and retired from the Division of Protection after a 30 yr profession in Military Analysis, Growth, Testing, and Analysis.
