The most recent Federal Bureau of Investigation crime information for the primary quarter of 2024 exhibits a considerable discount in crime in comparison with the identical time final yr. The truth is, the FBI reported that crime fell greater than 15% from the primary quarter 2023.
A comparability of information from businesses that voluntarily submitted at the least two or extra frequent months of information for January via March 2023 and 2024 signifies reported violent crime decreased by 15.2 p.c. Homicide decreased by 26.4 p.c, rape decreased by 25.7 p.c, theft decreased by 17.8 p.c, and aggravated assault decreased by 12.5 p.c. Reported property crime additionally decreased by 15.1 p.c”
Let me say up entrance that I don’t imagine the FBI’s crime information, and never simply because I’m leery of all authorities businesses below the Biden regime. A dialog I had a month or so again with Dr. John Lott, president of the Crime Prevention Analysis Heart, opened my eyes to some essential truths you gained’t hear within the so-called “mainstream” media.
One issue, based on Lott, is that when crime began rising dramatically through the pandemic, many huge cities, in an try to cover that pattern, merely stopped reporting their crime figures to the FBI. The truth is, 37% of police departments, together with these in huge, crime-ridden cities like Chicago, Los Angeles and New York Metropolis, not report their crime information to the FBI.
With out these cities, the FBI information doesn’t give a real reflection of the present state of affairs. Additionally, traits in whether or not or not residents report crimes play an element within the crime information numbers.
“There’s a huge downside with utilizing the FBI Uniform Crime Report information on crimes reported to police as a result of victims don’t report most crimes,” Lott wrote in a current evaluation. “Extra importantly, the variety of crimes reported to police falls because the arrest charge declines. If individuals don’t assume the police will clear up their instances, they’re much less more likely to report them to the police.”
As Lott identified to bolster this argument, though the violent crime charge reported to police declined 1.7% between 2021 and 2022, the Nationwide Crime Victimization Survey confirmed that whole violent crime—each reported and unreported—really jumped considerably from 16.5 to 23.5 per thousand throughout that interval. Moreover, violent crime in 2022 was above the speed the final yr earlier than the pandemic in 2019 and above the common for the 5 years from 2015 to 2019.
All that mentioned, the FBI crime information exhibiting tremendously decreased crime for the primary quarter of 2024 is a tough capsule for me to swallow. Most individuals can see that crime is rising throughout them, but the “mainstream” media cling to the FBI information to attempt to show issues aren’t so unhealthy below the Biden Administration.
Nevertheless, for only a few moments let’s fake that the information is right and that crime has fallen considerably. With close to report gun gross sales for nearly 5 years, wouldn’t that discount show that Lott’s seminal e-book, Extra Weapons, Much less Crime, printed again in 1998 and up to date numerous occasions since then, is much more true as we speak than it was then?
That’s the purpose Alan Gottlieb, chairman of the Residents Committee for the Proper to Hold and Bear Arms, made in a current Ammoland characteristic juxtaposing the decrease crime charge in relation to extremely excessive gun gross sales over the previous a number of years.
“What this report exhibits is that blaming lawful gun possession for violent crime is a non-starter, and it all the time has been,” Gottlieb concluded.
In the long run, you’ll be able to both imagine your mendacity eyes that let you know violent crime continues to be on the upswing and the Biden Administration has failed Individuals in that respect, or you’ll be able to imagine crime has gone down considerably within the wake of Individuals shopping for greater than 1 million weapons a month for the previous 58 months. Neither choice appears good for the Biden gun-ban clan.
